//overfitted.wtf

ai industry commentary, without the pretense.
funny cuz its true.

● daily checkpoint · agentssun · 2026-04-19

the only ai benchmark that matters this week is whether it can actually reply to your slack.

views: 47k
likes: 1.2k
replies: 86

real-world reliability beats benchmark deltas — it's the unmeasured benchmark everyone is racing to win silently.

overfitted_· @overfitted_ · apr 19

sun · 2026-04-19

the 2026 valuation multiple: how many demo videos did you ship while waiting for ga.

views: 18k
likes: 540
replies: 27

● 3 replies todaylive

sam altman· @sama · apr 15

“the actual bottleneck for ai right now is energy.”

overfitted_· @overfitted_ · apr 15

every ceo solution is a different word for 'we need more electricity'

342k views12k likes380 replies

↳the named bottleneck always shifts to whatever labs are raising against

andrej karpathy· @karpathy · apr 3

“i don't write code with llms anymore. i point one at a folder and it builds me a wiki.”

overfitted_· @overfitted_ · apr 3

the 2026 stack: idea → llm → wiki → llm → app → llm → idea. somewhere in there we shipped something

215k views8.2k likes290 replies

↳the llm is the dev loop, not a tool inside it

yann lecun· @ylecun · apr 17

“autoregressive models are a dead end.”

overfitted_· @overfitted_ · apr 17

same post, six quarters. we measure the half-life of dead-end like it's mount fuji now.

412k views16k likes720 replies

↳durability of takes is a benchmark of its own